Risk Report
The White House has released its 2025 National Security Strategy, marking a fundamental departure from decades of American foreign policy and signalling a return to "America First" principles under President Trump's second administration. The document reframes national security around economic dominance, domestic resilience, and selective global engagement whilst explicitly rejecting the role of universal guarantor that defined the post-Cold War era. As Washington pivots towards protectionism and demands allies shoulder greater burdens, how will the international order adapt to an America that no longer views global stability as its responsibility?
Ekaterina R., Lead Analyst
December 2025
UNITED STATES
What to Expect
The Year 2026
As 2026 begins, the post-Cold War international order is undergoing significant transformation as major powers and regional actors increasingly pursue competing visions of global governance, with overlapping spheres of influence replacing the once-dominant multilateral framework. This shift coincides with deepening economic fragmentation, as nations employ tariffs, export controls on critical technologies, and alternative financial mechanisms to advance strategic objectives alongside traditional diplomatic tools. In an era where multiple power centres coexist without a universally accepted rulebook, how will the international community navigate transnational challenges that require coordinated responses?
A WORLD IN FLUX
Takamaro H., Office Leader
Raymond P., Team Leader
Insights
AUTRAN GROUP
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